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Prospects of Mid-Term Poll!
by Rajinder Puri Bookmark and Share
 

The jugglery begins! What does the sudden announcement by government to introduce FDI in retail and to raise the diesel price signify – concern with policy or with politics? The cabinet had cleared the FDI policy almost a year ago but political considerations delayed its implementation.

Now what political considerations have forced it to suddenly announce its implementation?

Miss Mamata Banerjee, the UPA’s most powerful ally after the Congress, has served notice to roll back FDI in retail before Tuesday or face the consequences. She recently conferred with Samajwadi Party leaders who threw dark hints of an early poll and the emergence of a Third Front government after it. The government would be fully aware of the possible consequences of suddenly introducing reforms. Why, then, did the government go ahead without informing its key regional allies?

A hint is provided by what the Prime Minister reportedly remarked: “It is better to go down fighting.”  In other words it is better to go down fighting for reforms than to go out in disgrace due to corruption. At one stroke the Congress in the event of a mid-term poll has shifted the main attention from corruption to the debate about economic reforms.

But was a mid-term poll inevitable?

Perhaps the government had sensed that it was. The net of corruption was rapidly closing in on the top Congress leadership. If indeed Miss Banerjee withdraws support after Tuesday and Mr. Mulayam Singh does not fill the breach the government would lose majority to force a mid-term poll. 

In the event the entire national buzz would dwell on poll alignments and economic reforms. Who would immediately talk of corruption, of Coalgate, or whether Coal Minister Mr. Shriprakash Jaiswal should resign?

The opposition has predictably risen to the bait. It has characterized the reform movement as a sellout to foreign powers and of betraying the common man. It is doubtful if the opposition would debate the conditionality required to make FDI in retail successful. Electoral fever would persuade it to vehemently oppose the measure wholesale. That would provide a window of opportunity to the Congress. The government could focus on the policy and its beneficial impact. 

If Congress leaders successfully articulate FDI in retail policy there are segments that could support them in the polls. The corporate segment which wields considerable influence on polls is one. The farming community is another. If appropriate and innovative preconditions are introduced in FDI in retail policy even small retailers could be attracted.

Most important of all, the government would talk of change and a new global India in which corruption cases would be expected to fade away in distant memory. The opposition dwelling on the sellout to foreign powers should know that politicians cutting across parties are viewed with such disdain by the public that foreigners are no longer seen as the threat they once were. This is the hard truth.

The opposition should reflect. 

Despite its best efforts and the opposition’s follies the poll prospects of the Congress continue to remain of course very dim. Its recent record of governance was simply too horrid to be glossed over by any diversion. But conceivably the Congress could soften the blow. And most importantly, it could successfully divert attention sufficiently to continue protection of the guilty corrupt among its top leadership.

The next few days should tell us whether a mid-term poll will emerge.  
 

15-Sep-2012
More by :  Rajinder Puri
 
Views: 968
Article Comment TELECOM SCAMSTERS ARE ELEVATED TO SENSITIVE COMMITTES AS
MEMBERS.

RAJAS,KALMADIS.,KANNIMOLIS,DESHMKHS,CHOUHANS,VEERABHADRASINGHS ARE AL MYRTYRS N THIS GREAT UGLY POISONOUS ALLIANCE.

GREAT !
m v ramana
10/15/2012
Article Comment The Congress leadership got enough money to be spent in 10 loksabha elections, where all media news can be bought in efforts to providing indirect campaign.

In fact, indirect campaign for the Congress continues in times when no elections are nearby (as a practice and to keep up the public opinion intact !).

The media can use any topic to divert the public attention successfully. Last time it was malegaon blast and samjhauta express blast.
Among talks of those blasts, the promise from NDA to bring back black money made little appeal to the public. All credit to the media.

If the above claim sounds too extreme, then I request readers to carefully observer the kind of discussions happening on top news TV channels, top English news papers AND LOCAL newspapers in Hindi and other Indian languages.

That's the best tool the ruling party got to drive public opinion very tactfully, effectively and indirectly so that no one can point the finger.

There may be more reasons behind sudden FDI decision (money ? or shifting market centiment against lowering rupee in international markets (that would be temporary anyway)) ..........

The govt has lost confidence of many elites (not all, since many of them still carry influence of those TV new channels and news papers on their subconscious minds).

But, the Congress may not have lost confidence of an aam aadmi, who anyway derives the opinion from surroundings of which media is prime source.
Dinesh Kumar Bohre
09/17/2012
Article Comment Prime Minister thinks that people will forget corruption of Congress Raj. His think tank is bottomless, what people can do? Support his FDI policy?
People may forget corruption, they are more concerned with politics that is leading to rising cost resulting into cut into living expenses, food and clothing
expenses.
Look into recent record of policy leading rich and poor towards pits of poverty
with no end in sight. Yes, it is the policy of congress raj.

Walmart may be sweet now,next small business goes out of business next Walmart and its kind start raising cost and looting common man till people
come into streets and fighting, government sends police to fight people (government does not belive in fighting poverty)
If PM and Congress want to stay, they should mend their ways.
the people are ready to fight for their bread and butter even with Change in Government. BJP ready to jump in.
Pranlal Sheth
09/16/2012
 
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