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|by Dr. Rajinder Puri|
Deservedly Foreign Minister Mrs. Sushma Swaraj, our Intelligence agencies and diplomats have earned praise for their handling of the Iraq crisis. Nurses from Kerala and a substantial number of workers have been brought back safely into the country. However an aspect of greater significance related to events has escaped attention. The nurses were well treated and allowed to exit safely. This is not how terrorists normally behave. This was more like the conduct of a disciplined army. This induces serious reappraisal of the ISIS movement and what it might foretell.
Today ISIS presents mainly a territorial threat. But if it stabilizes into one Sunni state encompassing a part of Iraq and Syria, what might be the long term challenge it could present in the distant future? The ISIS leader looks like a long distance runner.
Media analysts in India and abroad continue to describe ISIS in terms similar to what they used for Al Qaeda and Pakistan’s Taliban jihadists. Could they be underestimating ISIS? On a TV discussion security analyst Major General Ashok Mehta stated that ISIS presented two challenges, one territorial and the other ideological. He considered the territorial challenge more serious but averred that hemmed in by other powers there was little military prospect of ISIS exercising control beyond Syria and northern Iraq. But what if the ideological challenge is more, much more, serious than the territorial challenge? A few aspects of al-Baghdadi’s approach merit attention and induce this writer to invite speculation about the potential of the long term ISIS challenge.
If al-Baghdadi as Caliph were to attempt propitiating this sentiment, what might he do?
Undoubtedly political events in the world today are influenced most decisively by big business finance capital with its tentacles spread across the globe. In recent years the permissive approach by big bankers to cut corners and their greed for profit plunged the world into crisis. The reputation and goodwill for bankers has never been lower. By assaulting their control an effective attack against the west would begin. How could al-Baghdadi attempt that? In the last century Hitler and the fascists attempted before the start of World War Two to challenge global finance capital by scrapping the gold standard and by entering into barter trade between nations. ISIS need not do that. Quite possibly it may take recourse to a more potent alternative.
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