Terror Remains Beyond Control of Pakistani State
The disclosure by Chinese authorities that the hijackers of a domestic airplane who were thwarted in March came from Pakistan confirms terrorism to be the prime export item of the volatile country. It is the latest shred of evidence in an unsavory track record for which Pakistan has gained international notoriety as the cradle of extremist jehad.
If one performed a word count from the list of reports about failed and successful terrorist attacks around the world in the last decade, the term 'Pakistan' makes a ubiquitous appearance.
In January 2008, Spain revealed that it had foiled a terrorist plot to blow up Barcelona's public transport system and jailed 10 suspects, nine of whom were Pakistanis and one an Indian Muslim. All three suspects of a terror cell nabbed by German investigators in September 2007 had been trained in Pakistan and were launched on "direct orders to act from Pakistan".
The botched 'Trans-Atlantic Air Plot' of August 2006, which aimed to detonate liquid explosives on board several aircraft flying from Britain to the US, involved many people of Pakistani descent and training.
Two of the 15 suspects in the 'Toronto Case' of June 2006, arrested by Canadian police before they could launch major terrorist attacks in southern Ontario, were migrants from Pakistan. Three of the four suicide bombers who killed 52 people in the 2005 London terror strikes were of Pakistani origin and the trail of their mission went back unmistakably to Al Qaeda camps in Karachi and Lahore.
Last but not least, the Sep 11 terror attacks in the US in 2001 were masterminded and financed from Pakistan by individuals of Pakistani descent -- Khalid Sheikh Mohammed and Sheikh Omar Saeed.
The dossier is incomplete without mentioning the scores of successful and forestalled terrorist attacks across India for more than half a century that have credible provenance in Pakistan.
While Pakistan's jehadi activities in India carry the imprint of the former's state apparatus, the waves of Pakistan-linked terror plots and attacks in Europe and North America lack the official hand of the government in Islamabad. They are free expressions from militarized segments of Pakistani society rather than a premeditated foreign policy strategy of the Pakistani state.
Islamabad has no strategic motive or benefit for abetting carnage on the streets of London or Berlin. To the extent that the jehad paraphernalia within Pakistan has grown mighty with state connivance and encouragement, one can argue an indirect culpability of the Pakistani state in exporting terror to far-flung parts of the world. But the linkages forged by terrorist cells in Europe and North America with Pakistan-based Islamist seminaries and training camps have more to do with the amount of jehadi human capital that has accumulated in Pakistani society.
The manpower, money and technological inputs Pakistani society has pumped into Islamist terrorism worldwide are second to none, even outdistancing Saudi Arabia. Pakistan's 20,000 madrassas educate an estimated 1.5 million students per annum. The vast majority of social institutions programming future jehadis are beyond the control of the Pakistani state. They are financed through voluntary charity of Pakistani businessmen who believe in earning Islamic piety. A network of Saudi Arabian and Iranian donors also bankrolls Pakistan's jehad factories in the guise of humanitarian service.
International terrorist plots with the invariable Pakistani hand draw upon this rich resource base for jehad that has taken roots in the social system of Pakistan. It is in recognition of this reality that Newsweek magazine commented: "No other country on earth is arguably more dangerous than Pakistan, where militancy is woven into the fabric of society."
Following Pakistan's parliamentary elections in February 2008, attention was devoted to the defeat of radical parties that espoused an Islamist worldview. Many commentators in India and the West toasted the results as vindication of the basic moderation in Pakistani society and a rejection of violent jehad. Nothing can be more erroneous than to conclude that an electoral defeat of rightwing Islamists implies that fundamentalism is on its way out. Hardly 30 percent of Pakistan's electorate exercised its franchise in the recent elections, a figure that does not justify using poll results as barometers of moderation of the whole society.
Even the minority that did come out to vote overwhelmingly for centrist parties can be seen as delivering a verdict against President Pervez Musharraf's misrule rather than against fundamentalism per se. It is easy to get confused about an electorate that was responding with brickbats for a detested military dictator and with sympathy for centrism after the assassination of Benazir Bhutto.
In a World Public Opinion Poll conducted in September 2007 (three months before Benazir's assassination), between 60 and 76 percent of Pakistanis favored expansion of the role of Sharia in the country's legal system. Is it logical to maintain that the same Pakistani society was somehow transformed overnight in barely four months to favor moderation and secularism in the elections?
If the election of February is a beacon that extremism is on the wane in Pakistani society, there should be a concomitant decline in terrorist attacks within the country. If moderates have prevailed in Pakistan, the uncovering of ever more international terrorist plots with 'Made in Pakistan' logos should become pass'. Neither of these logical next steps has transpired. Lacking deep transformation, Pakistan continues to be the world's leading exporter of Islamist terror.
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