Oct 30, 2025
Oct 30, 2025
by Ramesh Menon
 		 A couple of years ago it  		would have been almost unimaginable that Nepal torn by internal conflict  		and violence by Maoists would dump monarchy to embrace democracy.
A couple of years ago it  		would have been almost unimaginable that Nepal torn by internal conflict  		and violence by Maoists would dump monarchy to embrace democracy.
Nepal today has the distinction of being a nation that has got Maoists  		who rode to power not with the barrel of a gun, but with getting people  		to use the ballot box. Most political pundits thought that the Maoists  		whose violence had ended in killing over 10,000 would be trounced, but  		voters had other ideas.
There is a new dawn in Nepal one of the poorest countries of the world.  		It is now for the Maoists to turn it around, change the history of their  		underdeveloped country and surge into the future. Suddenly there is  		hope. 
And hope has made most of the 27 million population heave a sigh of  		relief. After all, the Himalayan kingdom had seen unprecedented violence  		in the last ten years. Now, these insurgents are talking of peace and  		development, of rewriting the constitution to end the 250 year old  		monarchy and give power to the people who elected the Communist Party of  		Nepal (Maoists) to power.
The crown does not sit lightly on the head of King Gyanendra Bir Bikram  		Shah Dev anymore. Prachanda, the Maoist supreme leader says that he has  		to go. He has even suggested that the Palace where the King presently  		lives with his family, be converted into a national museum so that  		future generations can understand the history of Nepal and its march to  		democracy.
King Gyanendra was forced to relinquish his direct rule in April 2006  		after sustained strikes and violence in the streets. He retreated into  		his heavily guarded palace as anti-monarchy slogans echoed in the air.  		Parliament then clipped his powers reducing him to a ceremonial figure.
 		
History meanders in strange unpredictable ways. In June 2001, after the  		then King Birendra and Queen Aishwariya were shot dead at the dinner  		table by their drunk son,  who then shot himself, Gyanendra was  		the murdered King's younger brother. He assumed powers as King  		immediately as the people mourned in a state of shock. No one wanted to  		see him as King. Simmering discontent followed. No one seemed to want  		him there. In February 2005, King Gyanendra had assumed absolute powers  		and set up a pro-monarchist cabinet thinking he was finally secure. The  		army protected him and was also out on the streets fighting the people. 		
Ironically, after he assumed total power, his decline started. People  		were out in the streets demanding freedom. He had to bow to their wishes  		and got a puppet government installed. But it was not the same anymore.  		He soon lost control of the army, for the first time, his picture was  		removed from currency notes, his annual $3.1-million allowance was  		denied. He must have then realized that he was better off earlier as a  		businessman. As election results poured in, there were rumors in  		picturesque Kathmandu that the King was planning to flee to India.
It has been quite an election that the people never witnessed before:  		10,000 polling booths, 10,000 candidates, over 234,000 election  		supervisors and 2,000 foreign election observers. But there was a good  		feel when it got over as they saw democracy triumph. 
Over 20,000 Maoist fighters are now over ground and at the moment seem  		to have given up an armed struggle. Not everyone is sure. Before the  		results came in, there was widespread fear that the country would be  		rocked with violence if the Maoists lost. Political opponents prefer to  		be cynical about the Maoists coming to power and would rather wait and  		see. 
 		
The Maoists had put an end to their armed struggle when King Gyanendra  		was forced to hand back power to the people in 2006. He had to do it as  		people were out in the streets venting their anger. As a coalition  		government was then put in place, the Maoists joined in saying that they  		respected the democratic process. At that time, no one dreamt that  		Prachanda would actually be the victor.
 		Probably, voters opted for  		change as they were fed up with corruption scandals rocking both the  		mainstream Nepali Congress and the Unified Marxist-Leninist, with left  		leanings. Prachanda's speeches of how Nepal needs to be rescued and  		rebuilt might have caught the imagination of the young. Leaders of both  		the routed parties have resigned.
But holding the reins of power is not going to be easy for the Maoists.  		Nepal has multiple problems that need urgent tackling and it will need a  		coalition to go along with them. As of now, the Maoists are willing to  		take on partners who will walk with them as they know that it is not  		going to be easy to deliver to a very expectant populace. They have to  		decide what to do with their 23,000 armed forces. The Maoists have  		suggested that they be integrated with the 90,000 strong royalist army  		but the army may not want to rub shoulders with indoctrinated cadres.  		More than anything else, there are huge expectations the people now  		suddenly have.
Then there is drafting of the new constitution which is not easy. All  		aspirations cannot be met when it is rewritten as there are groups that  		want more autonomy and even the right to self-determination. Prachanda  		is now taking of taking a fresh look at all treaties with India. As a  		big neighbor on which it is hugely dependent at the moment, they have  		to tread carefully. Political tightrope walking is different from  		insurgency and guerilla warfare in the jungles. There were charges  		against the Maoists that they indulged in extortion in villages on the  		fringes of jungles they operated in and even kidnapped children to  		recruit them into the cadre.
There is hope that the Maoists will also in some way water down the  		caste system that is so strong in Nepal. But for a system that has been  		entrenched in the Nepali mind for centuries, it is not going to be easy. 		
Despite his Maoist leanings, Prachanda knows very well that if he has to  		make a difference, Nepal has to economically grow. He has said that he  		is determined to demolish Nepal's remnants of feudalism and not  		capitalism. Prachanda has inherited a shaky economy and will have to  		bring in reforms and attract capital if he has to put it on the rails.  		So the initial fear of nationalization of industry does not hold as the  		Maoist leader has said that he is not against capitalism and foreign  		investment.
India played a major role in the peace process by getting various  		parties together in 2005. It also aggressively advocated the importance  		of having elections and marching towards democracy. But New Delhi has  		not treaded as carefully as it should. Before the elections, New Delhi  		put its foot into its mouth saying it would be happy to see the Nepali  		Congress win. After the landmark victory of the Maoists, the foreign  		office was red in the face. But it has tried to quickly mend fences with  		Prachanda. One probable fear is that the success of Maoists in Nepal  		will trigger off more aggressive Maoist activity in India. 
Ties with Nepal have always been crucial for India as it would not want  		it to move closer to China. India is also its biggest trading partner.  		India's challenge is to make this a turning point in bilateral relations  		with Nepal. Prachanda said in an interview recently that he is looking  		forward to working with India as that is the only way to bring stability  		and prosperity in Nepal and cooperation is the only way. It is clear  		that Nepal will now want to rework its ties, look at how to regulate the  		border, allowing Gorkha soldiers to work in the Indian army among other  		things.
What is really amazing in this Nepal story is how the Maoists gave up  		the bullet for the ballot. It is a story that Indian Maoists could learn  		from. 
04-May-2008
More by : Ramesh Menon