Analysis

Beyond De-Dollarization

Can BRICS Build A ‘Multipolar Payments Architecture’ Without Becoming an ‘Anti-West Bloc’?

What if the most important thing happening at the BRICS summit in New Delhi isn't a declaration, a photo-op, or a veiled swipe at Washington — but a payments task force meeting most headlines won't even mention? 

What if the real test of whether BRICS matters isn't how loudly its members talk about challenging the dollar, but how cheaply and reliably a textile exporter in Coimbatore can now get paid by a buyer in Sao Paulo? 

And what happens to a group that claims to represent half of humanity when its own members can't agree on whether they're building an alternative financial order — or just quietly hedging against a single one?

That is the tension sitting at the heart of India's BRICS presidency, and it is a far more interesting story than the usual "de-dollarization" framing allows. As the BRICS leaders' summit convenes in New Delhi, India is attempting something quietly ambitious: pushing an eleven-nation bloc known mostly for geopolitical signaling toward the unglamorous, technical work of actual financial infrastructure — local-currency trade settlement, interoperable cross-border payments, multilateral development bank reform, and expanded financing through the New Development Bank. The question worth asking isn't whether BRICS can dethrone the dollar. It's whether BRICS can build something that corporations, traders, and central banks actually want to use.

The ‘Declaration’ Behind the Declaration

BRICS summits have historically been better at producing communiqués than infrastructure. This year appears different, at least in ambition. BRICS finance ministers and central bank governors formally backed continued work by the BRICS Payment Task Force, and the New Delhi Declaration explicitly calls for progress on interoperability between payment and messaging systems, expanded trade settlement and investment in BRICS local currencies, and — notably — an approach the declaration describes as avoiding a "one-size-fits-all" model. The declaration also encourages the New Development Bank to expand local-currency financing and diversify its funding base.

That last phrase, “no one-size-fits-all approach” is doing more work than it might appear to. It's a tacit acknowledgment of something India has been careful to signal throughout its presidency: this isn't about forcing eleven wildly different economies onto a single shared currency or payment rail. It's about building interoperability — the capacity for different national systems to talk to each other efficiently — without requiring anyone to surrender monetary sovereignty. That's a meaningfully different, and considerably more achievable, goal than the "BRICS currency" speculation that tends to dominate Western media coverage of these summits.

India has particular credibility to lead this conversation, for one obvious reason: it has already built the domestic version of exactly this kind of infrastructure. UPI processed over 200 billion transactions in 2025 alone, becoming the connective tissue of India's entire retail economy by solving precisely the problem BRICS is now trying to solve at a multilateral level — interoperability across previously siloed systems, without forcing every bank or platform onto identical rails. India's pitch to the bloc is implicit but clear: we've proven this model works domestically: can we extend it, however partially, across borders?

A Bloc That Shouldn't, By Any Normal Logic, Agree on Anything

Here's what makes India's task genuinely difficult, and worth taking seriously rather than dismissing: BRICS has expanded into an eleven-member grouping — Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Indonesia — that collectively represents close to half of the world's population and roughly 40% of global GDP measured at purchasing power parity. Those numbers sound like the makings of formidable, unified economic weight. They are also close to meaningless as a measure of cohesion, because the internal heterogeneity inside that number is severe almost to the point of absurdity.

Consider the composition: Iran and the UAE are both full members, despite recent direct conflict between Iran and Israel that drew in Gulf security concerns and left Gulf states like the UAE navigating an extraordinarily delicate position. India maintains deep, expanding strategic and economic partnerships with the United States and the West — it is simultaneously a Quad member and a BRICS founding partner, a balancing act that would be incoherent for almost any other country attempting it. China and Russia, by contrast, have been unambiguous about wanting BRICS to function as an explicitly revisionist counterweight to Western-led institutions.

This is not a bloc unified by ideology. It's a bloc unified, at most, by a shared frustration with specific frictions in the existing global financial system — the cost and speed of cross-border payments, the governance weight of institutions like the IMF and World Bank, the difficulty of accessing development finance outside a small number of Western-controlled channels. That's a much thinner basis for unity than a shared political project, but it's also a more durable one, precisely because it doesn't require member states to agree on geopolitics — only on whether a specific payment corridor or financing mechanism makes their economy work better.

India's Bet: Make It ‘Useful,’ Not ‘Ideological’

This is why India's strategic choice matters so much, and why it's worth stating explicitly: India's opportunity is not to turn BRICS into an anti-West alliance. It's to make BRICS useful. Those are fundamentally different projects and conflating them is the single most common analytical error in Western coverage of BRICS.

An anti-West BRICS requires ideological alignment that Iran, the UAE, India, and Indonesia simply do not share, and pretending otherwise sets the bloc up to fracture the moment a genuine geopolitical test arrives. A useful BRICS, by contrast, requires something much more modest and achievable: lower transaction costs, functioning development finance, resilient supply chains, and interoperable payments. Those are engineering problems, not ideological ones. And engineering problems can be solved incrementally by technocrats, even when the foreign ministers in the room fundamentally distrust each other.

Prime Minister Modi's message on September 11 — that trade requires secure sea lanes and open supply routes — reinforces exactly this framing. It's a deliberately unglamorous, commercially pragmatic statement, not a geopolitical broadside. It signals that India intends to keep BRICS anchored to the language of trade facilitation and commercial reliability rather than let it drift into the language of civilizational or ideological confrontation that Beijing and Moscow might otherwise prefer.

Financial Pluralism, Not De-Dollarization

Here is where the framing genuinely needs correcting, because "de-dollarization" is both the wrong word and the wrong goal for what's actually happening. De-dollarization implies a zero-sum project — replacing the dollar with something else. What's actually emerging, if BRICS's payments and local-currency work achieve success even partially, is closer to financial pluralism: a world where corporations and central banks trade and settle across multiple currencies and payment corridors, without any single currency being eliminated from the system.

This distinction matters enormously for how seriously the West should take this initiative. A bilateral trade deal settled in rupees and dirhams instead of dollars doesn't dethrone the dollar — it simply removes one use case from a currency that still dominates global reserves, trade invoicing, and financial market depth by an enormous margin. What it does is reduce the transaction costs, currency risk, and geopolitical exposure that come from routing every trade relationship through a third currency, even when neither counterparty has any particular use for dollars beyond the transaction itself. That's a genuinely useful efficiency gain — the kind that finance ministries can point to as a concrete win — without requiring any member state to make a civilizational bet against the existing dollar-based order.

This is precisely why the local-currency financing push by the New Development Bank matters more than it might initially appear. A development bank that can lend in local currencies, rather than forcing every borrower to absorb dollar-denominated debt and the currency risk that comes with it, solves a real and specific problem for developing economies — one that has nothing to do with anti-Western sentiment and everything to do with reducing balance-sheet fragility.

The Hard Test Nobody's Talking About Yet

None of this should be read as inevitable success, though, and skepticism is warranted. Interoperable payment systems require a level of technical standardization, regulatory trust, and data-sharing between central banks that has taken India over a decade to build domestically, among institutions that already shared a single regulator, a single currency, and a single legal system. Replicating even a fraction of that trust across eleven sovereign central banks — some of which, like Iran's, operate under heavy sanctions regimes that make Western financial institutions reluctant to engage with any system Iran touches — is an order of magnitude harder.

There's also an unavoidable tension that the "no one-size-fits-all" language can only paper over for so long: interoperability without common standards eventually hits a ceiling. At some point, real interoperability requires shared technical protocols, shared settlement mechanisms, and shared trust frameworks — the very things that heterogeneous sovereignty makes difficult to negotiate. India will eventually have to answer whether it's building a genuinely interoperable system, or a patchwork of bilateral arrangements dressed up in multilateral language.

Questions That Will Actually Determine Whether This Matters

So here is where the real scrutiny belongs, and where India's presidency will ultimately be judged — not in the summit's closing declaration, but in what happens after the delegates leave New Delhi. 

Will the BRICS Payment Task Force produce an actual interoperable settlement mechanism with measurable adoption, or will it join the long list of multilateral working groups that produce annual progress reports and little else? 

Can India hold together a coalition that includes a Quad partner of the United States and a country actively targeted by U.S. sanctions, without one member's geopolitical baggage eventually contaminating the technical credibility of the whole payments’ architecture? 

And perhaps most importantly: if financial pluralism genuinely takes root — if trade increasingly settles across multiple currencies without any single one being eliminated — will the world's financial architecture become more resilient and more representative of a multipolar economy, or will it simply become more fragmented, more expensive to navigate, and harder to regulate in a crisis? 

BRICS has spent seventeen years proving it can issue declarations. The New Delhi summit is the first real test of whether it can build something that outlives them.

26-Sep-2026

More by :  P. Mohan Chandran


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